Looks like Hillary might not be the shoo-in candidate she hoped she’d be. Her policy on ISIS and Syria smacks of poor judgement, Benghazi will be resurrected with Trey Gowdy’s reconstituted special select committee, which follows on the heels on the obvious whitewash from the Intelligence Select Committee in the House. Her book, which drew a veil over her Senate career, which was a vanilla affair from start to finish, was a epic fail in terms of sales and media interest. Could Hillary be old news already?
There’s plenty of bad news for Clinton in last month’s Quinnipiac poll, the first national survey conducted since the November election. Clinton runs 1 point behind Mitt Romney, 1 point ahead of Chris Christie, 4 points ahead of Paul Ryan and 5 points ahead of Jeb Bush, Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee. None of this can be blamed on low off-year turnout; the poll is of registered voters.
All these Republicans except Romney are significantly less well known than Clinton. When asked whether their feelings are favorable or unfavorable, only 5 percent of poll respondents have no opinion on Clinton and 14 percent on Romney; the numbers for the other Republicans run between 29 and 39 percent. So she’s running even with the best-known candidate while the others all have room to grow.
Even more significant are Clinton’s percentages against these candidates: 44, 45, 46, 46, 46 and 46. In seriously contested 2014 Senate races, Democratic incumbents tended to run about even with their poll numbers, while their Republican challengers ran well ahead of theirs. If you apply the same rule to Clinton’s Quinnipiac numbers, she ends up with about the same percentage as John McCain in 2008 or Democratic House candidates in 2010 and 2014. Townhall