There’s more bad polling news for the Donald, this time on a national level. Dr. Ben Carson has taken a narrow lead over the billionaire real estate mogul for the first time in months, according to a New York Times/CBS News survey released Tuesday:
Mr. Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, is the choice of 26 percent of Republican primary voters, the poll found, while Mr. Trump now wins support from 22 percent, although the difference lies within the margin of sampling error.
The survey is the first time that Mr. Trump has not led all candidates since The Times and CBS News began measuring presidential preferences at the end of July.
No other candidate comes close to Mr. Carson and Mr. Trump. Senator Marco Rubio of Florida received 8 percent while former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida and Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard chief executive, are each the choice of 7 percent of Republican primary voters.
Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Gov. John R. Kasich of Ohio each received support from 4 percent of those surveyed.
Carson has gained five percentage points and Trump has lost five percentage points since another CBS survey taken in early October. However, Tuesday’s survey found that Trump’s supporters are more steadfast than Carson’s:
A majority of Trump supporters, 55 percent, said their minds were made up. But 80 percent of Carson backers said it was too early to say for sure that they would eventually support him.
Overall, only 28 percent of respondents indicated they had made up their mind on a candidate to support. In other words, the field is still wide open.