After sweeping the five northeastern “Acela primary” states Tuesday night, Republican frontrunner Donald Trump has amassed 950 delegates, just 287 shy of the 1,237 needed to clinch the party nomination:
The crushing victories, in which Trump beat expectations, were enough for the frontrunner to call on rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich to exit the race.“I consider myself the presumptive nominee, absolutely,” Trump said at a press conference at his New York hotel Tuesday night.“As far as I’m concerned, it’s over. These two guys can’t win, there’s no path,” he continued.
Despite Trump’s confidence, however, he’s not out of the woods just yet. Ten primary contests remain, and Cruz is poised to win at least half of them:
CRUZ MUST & WILL WIN:
May 3 – Indiana (57 delegates) – Winner take all
Cruz needs to win this, and with Kasich not campaigning here and a potential endorsement from Gov. Mike Pence in the wings, Cruz should be able to win this and swing momentum back his way.
May 10 – Nebraska (36) – Closed primary
Cruz is poised to win in Nebraska especially as it is a closed primary, which means only registered Republicans can vote. Cruz tends to do really well in these kinds of situations.
May 24 – Washington (44) – Closed primary
All indications show that Cruz is poised to do well here, especially as it is another closed primary.
Jun 7 – Montana (27)
Easily Cruz country. Has won and will win all states surrounding it.
Jun 7 – South Dakota (25)
Again, easily Cruz country. Has won states that mirror South Dakota voter demographics.
Of the remaining primaries, West Virginia and New Jersey will more than likely go to Trump, while Oregon, New Mexico, and California are toss-ups.
In other words, while it will be tough, it’s still entirely possible for Cruz to deny Trump the nomination.